2020 US Election Predictions by KlionskyG

Champion(s):

JME1


Runner(s)-Up:

AlexanderDarby


Quiz Description

For questions asking "who", please answer using candidate names, not party names.
e.g.: Answer FILLMORE rather than WHIG.
"Tie" is also an acceptable answer.

For questions seeking two winners, please answer your prediction for the first and then the second.
e.g.: For a pair of questions "Who will win 1856? Who will win 1860?" the correct answer is BUCHANAN, LINCOLN.
For "Who will win 1860? Who will win 1864?" the correct answer is LINCOLN, LINCOLN.


For questions seeking a state, please write out the state in full.
e.g.: Answer GUAM rather than GU

Though obviously we have an Election Period more than an Election Day this year, I will close this quiz on the night before Tuesday, November 3.

GO VOTE!

Full Results:

Rank Player Total %ile 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Money Value (% Incorrect): 07 90 03 16 16 31 40 98 77 29 96 16
1 JME1 446 98 15
15
90
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98
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77
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00
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2 AlexanderDarby 285 96 15
00
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40
00
00
00
00
15
29
15
96
15
3 Scot 270 94 15
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90
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31
00
00
00
00
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29
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00
15
4 szeb 259 92 15
00
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16
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31
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77
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15
5 CarterBurke 236 89 15
00
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16
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31
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40
00
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00
15
29
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5 imogen 236 89 15
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31
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40
00
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29
00
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16
7 UncleTed 229 85 15
00
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16
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31
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00
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00
15
77
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00
8 RobinJRichards 210 82 15
00
15
03
15
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16
15
31
15
40
00
00
00
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00
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8 SJA 210 82 15
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90
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00
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10 melvillean 207 77 15
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31
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40
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10 McGeeDean 207 77 15
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31
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40
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10 DreyfusB 207 77 15
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31
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40
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13 jnowell 204 72 15
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40
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29
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14 Susan 199 70 15
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31
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77
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15 GoldfarbDavidJ 197 68 15
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29
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16 TWright17 196 66 15
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31
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17 Akron87 193 64 15
07
00
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03
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31
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18 noodle 192 60 15
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40
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18 apeekrtr 192 60 15
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40
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20 Vendy12 191 57 15
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31
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21 nepstein 190 55 15
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40
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22 Jordi 184 53 15
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03
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29
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23 Bup 181 50 15
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29
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23 CoenM 181 50 15
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31
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25 JCEurovision 172 46 15
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31
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29
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26 KPope 168 44 15
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31
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27 RohrkemperA 167 42 15
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77
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28 David-S 165 40 15
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29 Commodore 151 38 15
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31
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30 LynchT 150 35 15
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31 JasonDuiuc 147 33 15
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32 SokolM 145 31 15
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40
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33 cfcrd 140 29 15
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03
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31
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34 DavidL 137 26 15
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34 GarciaD 137 26 15
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36 Zippy 132 22 15
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37 DrSteveC 125 20 15
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38 BobSmith 119 18 15
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39 ADeLong 100 15 15
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39 emilyaviva 100 15 15
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41 Jonathan 94 11 00
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42 KonkelT 91 9 15
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43 MarxG 86 6 15
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43 KCrest 86 6 15
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45 DouglasLovesVixey 18 3 00
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46 RalliP 15 1 00
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00

Questions:

Which party will have the most seats in the House of Representatives?

Click to Reveal Answer
Democratic (222 - 211, 2 vacancies)

Which party will have the most seats in the Senate?

Even in case of a 50-50 Senate, where ties are broken by the Vice President, the answer here would be "tie".

Click to Reveal Answer
Tie (50 - 50) (counting the independents with their caucus) (tie functionally broken by Democratic VP Harris)

Who will win the popular vote?

Click to Reveal Answer
Biden (81.3M - 74.2M)

Who will win the Electoral College vote?

Click to Reveal Answer
Biden (306 - 232)

List, in order:
Who will win WISCONSIN?
Who will win MICHIGAN?

Click to Reveal Answer
Biden / Biden

List, in order:
Who will win OHIO?
Who will win PENNSYLVANIA?

Click to Reveal Answer
Trump / Biden

List, in order:
Who will win IOWA?
Who will win MINNESOTA?

Click to Reveal Answer
Trump / Biden

List, in order:
Who will win NORTH CAROLINA?
Who will win GEORGIA?

Click to Reveal Answer
Trump / Biden

List, in order:
Who will win FLORIDA?
Who will win TEXAS?

Click to Reveal Answer
Trump / Trump

List, in order:
Who will win NEVADA?
Who will win ARIZONA?

Click to Reveal Answer
Biden / Biden

Arrange all states in decreasing order of their vote margins for the ultimate winner. Then add up electoral votes for the winner from the state won by the largest margin, second-largest margin, and on down the list until reaching 270 electoral votes or higher. The state that gave the 270th vote is the tipping-point state.

Which will be the tipping-point state?

Click for additional information

Click to Reveal Answer
Wisconsin (0.63%)

Either VP Biden or President Trump will concede the election by 12pm EST on Wednesday, November 4.

True or false?

Click to Reveal Answer
False