2020 US Election Predictions by KlionskyG


For questions asking "who", please answer using candidate names, not party names.
e.g.: Answer FILLMORE rather than WHIG.
"Tie" is also an acceptable answer.

For questions seeking two winners, please answer your prediction for the first and then the second.
e.g.: For a pair of questions "Who will win 1856? Who will win 1860?" the correct answer is BUCHANAN, LINCOLN.
For "Who will win 1860? Who will win 1864?" the correct answer is LINCOLN, LINCOLN.

For questions seeking a state, please write out the state in full.
e.g.: Answer GUAM rather than GU

Though obviously we have an Election Period more than an Election Day this year, I will close this quiz on the night before Tuesday, November 3.



Answer the questions below to the best of your ability without using outside resources. Outside references include (but certainly are not limited to) searching for an answer on the internet, looking at maps, using a calculator, or asking a friend (or foe) if they know the answer. Basically, you are relying on your brain (and maybe a pencil and paper).

For each correct answer, you will receive 15 points. You must also mark 5 questions as "money" questions. For each money question that you answer correctly, you will receive bonus points equal to the percent of players who answered incorrectly. (That is, if 25% of players got a question right, its money bonus would be worth 75 points.) You still don't get any points for a wrong answer, though, so try to select the hardest questions you think you have answered correctly. (Note: You can't use outside resources to help pick your money questions either.)

This quiz is closed for grading, and you can no longer submit answers. When the author has finished grading, the results will be published on this page.


Question 1

Which party will have the most seats in the House of Representatives?


Question 2

Which party will have the most seats in the Senate?

Even in case of a 50-50 Senate, where ties are broken by the Vice President, the answer here would be "tie".


Question 3

Who will win the popular vote?


Question 4

Who will win the Electoral College vote?


Question 5

List, in order:
Who will win WISCONSIN?
Who will win MICHIGAN?

Biden / Biden

Question 6

List, in order:
Who will win OHIO?
Who will win PENNSYLVANIA?

Trump / Biden

Question 7

List, in order:
Who will win IOWA?
Who will win MINNESOTA?

Trump / Biden

Question 8

List, in order:
Who will win NORTH CAROLINA?
Who will win GEORGIA?

Trump / Biden

Question 9

List, in order:
Who will win FLORIDA?
Who will win TEXAS?

Trump / Trump

Question 10

List, in order:
Who will win NEVADA?
Who will win ARIZONA?

Biden / Biden

Question 11

Arrange all states in decreasing order of their vote margins for the ultimate winner. Then add up electoral votes for the winner from the state won by the largest margin, second-largest margin, and on down the list until reaching 270 electoral votes or higher. The state that gave the 270th vote is the tipping-point state.

Which will be the tipping-point state?

Click for additional information

Wisconsin (0.62%)

Question 12

Either VP Biden or President Trump will concede the election by 12pm EST on Wednesday, November 4.

True or false?