Predict the Swing States by BruceM

Champion(s):

RalliP


Runner(s)-Up:

RobinJRichards
How many days until May?


Quiz Description

Given a state that has at least a 1% chance of tipping the 2016 U.S. presidential election (according to 538.com as of when this quiz was created), predict which presidential candidate will win that state. For ease of grading, surnames are best (for example "Sanders" or "Cruz").

Full Results:

Rank Player Total %ile 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Value (% Incorrect): 80 92 95 64 07 13 23 92 04 30 18 32 18 07 16
1 RalliP 414 99 15
15
92
15
95
15
00
00
00
15
15
92
00
00
00
15
00
00
15
15
2 RobinJRichards 352 97 15
80
00
00
15
64
15
15
13
15
00
00
15
15
30
15
00
15
15
15
3 Commodore 347 95 15
80
00
00
15
15
15
15
23
00
15
15
30
15
18
15
15
15
15
16
4 EdwardsT 314 93 00
00
00
00
15
64
15
15
15
23
00
15
15
30
15
15
32
15
15
15
5 Shosin 313 92 00
00
15
92
00
15
15
00
15
23
00
15
15
30
15
00
15
18
15
15
6 GrahamJ 303 89 15
80
00
00
15
64
15
00
15
23
00
15
00
00
00
15
00
15
15
16
6 bmrafferty 303 89 00
15
15
95
00
15
07
15
00
15
92
15
04
00
00
15
00
00
00
00
8 LiptonM 300 87 00
00
00
00
15
64
15
15
15
23
00
15
15
30
15
18
15
15
15
15
9 CoenM 290 85 00
00
00
00
15
64
15
15
13
15
00
15
15
30
15
18
15
15
15
15
10 OBrienJ 288 83 00
00
00
00
15
64
15
15
13
15
00
15
15
30
15
15
15
15
15
16
11 BeningoS 287 81 15
00
00
15
64
15
15
15
00
15
00
00
15
32
15
18
15
07
15
16
12 MatthewsP 284 80 00
00
00
00
15
64
15
07
15
15
00
15
15
30
15
18
15
15
15
15
13 RussB 282 78 00
00
00
00
00
15
64
15
15
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23
00
15
15
30
15
15
15
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15
14 WalkerAJ 274 76 15
00
00
00
15
15
13
15
00
15
15
30
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32
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18
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16
15 Egantx7 249 75 00
00
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92
00
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00
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00
15
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07
15
16 srs 239 73 00
00
00
00
00
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23
00
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18
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32
15
15
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16
17 johnbcrowe 235 71 00
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00
00
00
00
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23
00
15
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30
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32
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15
18 Timm 233 69 15
00
00
00
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23
00
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04
15
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18
15
07
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19 DoyleE 228 66 00
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00
00
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23
00
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32
15
15
07
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19 ReeseC 228 66 00
00
00
00
00
15
15
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23
00
15
15
15
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32
15
15
07
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19 VaccaD 228 66 00
00
00
00
00
15
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23
00
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32
15
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07
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22 ChrisRosenberg 222 62 15
00
00
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00
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07
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00
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18
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32
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23 GambinoG 221 61 15
00
00
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23
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00
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32
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16
24 KroegerJ 219 59 00
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00
00
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23
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30
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16
25 GluskinJ 216 57 00
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30
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18
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18
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26 SrikrishnanV 207 54 00
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23
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18
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26 SteveWilliams 207 54 15
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13
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04
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18
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00
00
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07
15
26 MoyseyC 207 54 00
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00
00
00
00
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15
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23
00
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15
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18
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29 Steve 204 50 00
00
15
95
00
15
00
00
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00
15
04
00
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00
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15
00
00
30 AdelmanM 203 47 00
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23
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30
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30 letouj 203 47 00
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23
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30
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30 OlewnickB 203 47 00
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23
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33 gregariouschinchilla 202 43 00
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04
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30
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18
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34 HallR 201 42 00
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13
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00
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30
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07
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35 Berek 199 40 00
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64
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23
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00
00
00
15
15
07
00
00
36 JonesRW 195 37 00
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64
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04
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07
00
00
36 WolfischL 195 37 00
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00
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00
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07
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23
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30
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38 PolinskyL 192 34 00
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00
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23
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38 SaferMR 192 34 00
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00
00
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23
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40 MatherV 191 31 15
00
00
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07
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23
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04
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07
15
41 Eponine 187 30 00
00
00
15
15
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13
15
00
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00
00
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32
00
15
07
15
42 EverettJ 184 28 00
00
00
00
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07
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23
00
15
04
15
15
15
15
15
15
43 Okrent 183 25 00
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00
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15
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30
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18
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43 RoseM 183 25 00
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07
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23
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15
18
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15
45 BarkerC 180 23 00
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00
00
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00
15
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00
15
15
30
15
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46 DangerussW 177 21 00
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00
15
15
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00
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18
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32
00
00
15
07
15
47 DreyfusB 168 19 00
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15
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30
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18
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48 MercureT 153 18 00
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49 Matto 152 16 00
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50 mellyjo 143 14 00
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51 HoH 138 12 00
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51 KitchenB 138 12 15
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18
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53 HightB 135 9 00
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54 MyrowitzJ 129 7 00
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00
15
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13
15
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04
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07
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55 lorijane 125 6 00
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13
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04
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56 LuskT 120 4 00
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00
15
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07
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23
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57 KonkelT 111 2 00
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07
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04
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18
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07
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58 WeikleB 97 1 00
00
00
00
00
00
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00
15
04
00
15
18
15
00
15
15

Questions:

Florida

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TBD

Michigan

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TBD

Pennsylvania

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TBD

North Carolina

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TBD

Virginia

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TBD

Colorado

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TBD

Ohio

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TBD

Wisconsin

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TBD

Minnesota

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TBD

Nevada

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TBD

New Hampshire

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TBD

Arizona

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TBD

New Mexico

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TBD

Georgia

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TBD

Iowa

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TBD